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Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Nate Silver's Oscar Predictions




Nate Silver, the genius behind fivethirtyeight.com, has used his number skills to predict who will win this Sunday's Oscar awards.

This guy is never wrong, he nailed the 2008 presidential election and he'll probably be right on all of these Oscar predictions too. I'm not sure how he does it, but he's pretty amazing. It looks like "Slumdog" will be winning the big ones this year... I'm so excited!

Check out the full article (and how he makes his predictions) here.


-
Supporting Actor
Heath Ledger...........................85.8%
Josh Brolin.................................5.0%
Philip Seymour Hoffman........4.4%
Michael Shannon......................3.6%
Robert Downey Jr. .....................1.2%


-
Supporting Actress
Taraji P. Henson.......................51.0%
Penélope Cruz..........................24.6%
Viola Davis................................11.6%
Amy Adams...............................11.6%
Marisa Tomei.............................1.2%


-
Lead Actor
Mickey Rourke.........................71.1%
Sean Penn.................................19.0%
Brad Pitt.....................................5.9%
Frank Langella..........................3.4%
Richard Jenkins........................0.5%


-
Lead Actress
Kate Winslet.............................67.6%
Meryl Streep.............................32.4%
Anne Hathaway........................0.0%
Melissa Leo................................0.0%
Angelina Jolie ...........................0.0%


-
Best Director
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire............99.7%
Gus Van Sant, Milk...................0.1%
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button............0.1%
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon......0.0%
Stephen Daldry, The Reader..0.0%


-
Best Picture
Slumdog Millionaire..............99.0%
Milk................................................1.0%
Frost/Nixon...................................0.0%
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.........0.0%
The Reader..................................0.0%

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